IT
IS MORE THAN just another bye-election. The Poinguinim bye-election
has very serious implications for the state of Goa. The outcome
of the elections will not only affect political parties but
impinge on the lives of the ordinary citizens. Not only on the
lives of the residents of Poinguinim constituency. But every
resident of Goa. This is because the Poinguinim bye-elections
will decided whether money and muscle power will become the
dominant factor in Goan politics.
Let
us dwell for a moment purely on the political implications of
the Poinguinim bye-elections. If the Congress-turned-BJP candidate,
Isidore Fernandes, wins, it will greatly strengthen the BJP
in the State. Isidore’s victory by itself will not give
the BJP the absolute majority it is seeking through deceit and
manipulation. But the Chief Minister Manohar Parrikar is on
record that more Congress MLAs will follow Isidore’s example
if the BJP wins the Poinguinim seat. If three more Congress
MLAs decide to resign their seats the BJP will achieve its objective
of securing an absolute majority. Though Babush Monserrate does
not realise it, it will also enable Parrikar to dump elements
like him. Parrikar is aware that Babush is a major embarrassment
to the BJP. It is a measure of Parrikar’s genius or deviousness
that he has been able to use Babush to cook the goose of the
Taleigao MLA. If Isidore wins and three other Congress MLAs
decide to emulate Isidore’s example Babush will probably
be dumped as unceremoniously as Micky was.
On
the other hand a Congress victory will ensure at least slowing
down if not a complete halt to the saffronisation of Goa. Let’s
not make any mistake about it. The ultimate objective of the
BJP in Goa and even more of the Sangh Parivar is to convert
Goa from a vibrant model of secular democracy to a Hindutva
state. There is enough and more evidence of the systematic attempt
to marginalise the minority community in Goa. If the BJP gets
an absolute majority in Goa it will become another Gujarat.
The tragedy is that the Congress in Goa does not seem to appreciate
that an Isidore victory in Poinguinim will spell the death knell
of the Congress. It will inflict a blow on the Congress which
it will take years if not decades to recover from. It is even
more unfortunate that the Congress High Command does not seem
to have understood the larger implications of the defeat of
the Congress candidate in Poinguinim. What can happen in Goa
today could happen in other Congress-ruled states. And the Congress
at the national level may find its MLAs and even Members of
Parliament quitting to re-contest on the BJP ticket. There is
talk of Rahul Gandhi campaigning for the Congress. This may
or may not help but what is really needed is greater support
from the Congress High Command for Jagdish Acharya.
The
most horrifying dimension of the Poinguinim bye-elections is
the apprehension that it will vastly enhance the influence of
Babush Monserrate. There have been pure mercenaries and criminal
elements in politics in Goa in the past. But none of them have
been so cold-blooded and single minded in pursuit of the objective
of criminalising Goa. A victory for Isidore will in the ultimate
analysis be a victory for Babush. And reinforce and strengthen
his belief that everyone can be purchased provided the price
is right. The "Viper from Taleigao" already has plans
of floating a political party. He has already
begun to entertain fantasies of becoming the Chief Minister
of Goa. Indeed, it is neither in the interest of the BJP or
the Congress for Isidore to win. The BJP workers in Poinguinim
have realised this. That is why there is a large scale revolt
within the BJP in Poinguinim against the candidature of Isidore
Fernandes. It is high time the BJP in Goa wakes up to the fact
that there is very little difference between Manohar Parrikar
and Babush Monserrate. They are birds of the same feather. Parrikar
is already a Hitler. Babush is hell bent on becoming a Salazar.
The bottomline is every resident of Goa and not just the voters
in Poinguinim have a stake in the bye-elections scheduled for
October, the 13th.